Alacuas vs Picassent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alacuas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
TAV
1 - 1
ALA
63%
20%
17%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
TCF
0 - 0
ALA
57%
23%
21%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
ALA
0 - 0
GUA
22%
24%
54%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
CAN
5 - 0
ALA
70%
18%
12%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
ALA
0 - 3
EMF
37%
25%
37%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Picassent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
MAN
0 - 4
PIC
55%
22%
23%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
TCF
3 - 1
PIC
70%
19%
12%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
PIC
1 - 2
PAI
18%
23%
59%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
GAN
4 - 0
PIC
72%
18%
10%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
PIC
1 - 1
XIR
55%
23%
23%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |