Al Watani vs Najran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
69.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Watani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
HAJ
3 - 2
ALW
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
ALW
0 - 3
ALD
46%
26%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
ALW
0 - 0
ABH
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
ANS
0 - 2
ALW
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
ALK
0 - 1
ALW
37%
25%
39%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Najran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
NAJ
2 - 0
ALI
28%
25%
47%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
NAJ
0 - 5
ALA
29%
26%
46%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
ALF
1 - 0
NAJ
51%
23%
25%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
ABH
3 - 2
NAJ
20%
21%
60%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
NAJ
1 - 1
ALF
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |