Al Watani vs Al-Nassr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
70.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Watani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ALW
1 - 1
ALO
26%
27%
46%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ALW
1 - 0
ALI
18%
22%
60%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
DHA
1 - 0
ALW
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
ALW
1 - 1
ALJ
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ALB
2 - 1
ALW
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
ALN
0 - 1
ALK
53%
23%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ALN
1 - 0
ALQ
63%
22%
16%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ALI
1 - 0
ALN
27%
27%
47%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
ALN
3 - 0
NAJ
84%
11%
5%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
ALN
4 - 1
ALF
41%
26%
34%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |