Al-Wakrah vs Al-Gharafa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
34.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
3º
10º
8º
41
2º
11º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
AFC Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Wakrah
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
UMM
0 - 1
WAK
32%
26%
42%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
SAD
3 - 0
WAK
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
WAK
1 - 1
QAT
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2025 |
KHO
1 - 3
WAK
34%
26%
39%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
WAK
0 - 4
RAY
45%
24%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Al-Gharafa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
ARA
1 - 3
GHA
40%
24%
36%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
GHA
0 - 2
ADS
45%
24%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
UMM
0 - 1
GHA
29%
24%
47%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2025 |
GHA
0 - 4
SAD
42%
23%
35%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
GHA
4 - 2
QAT
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |