Al-Wehda vs Najran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
33.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Wehda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ALA
2 - 1
ALW
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
ALW
2 - 5
ALS
37%
27%
37%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
HAJ
2 - 0
ALW
34%
25%
41%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2012 |
ALW
2 - 3
ALS
72%
18%
11%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 1
ALW
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Najran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
NAJ
1 - 0
ALI
38%
25%
37%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
ALS
1 - 5
NAJ
28%
24%
48%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
NAJ
0 - 6
ALH
37%
25%
38%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
NAJ
2 - 2
HAJ
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
ALS
4 - 0
NAJ
55%
23%
21%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |