Al-Wehda vs Al-Nassr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
37.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
7º
18º
15º
70
2º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
83 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 68 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 67 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
60 | 60 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
30 | 30 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
21 | 21 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Wehda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
KHO
1 - 0
ALW
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
ALW
1 - 4
ALI
40%
25%
34%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
ALO
4 - 2
ALW
30%
28%
41%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
ALR
1 - 0
ALW
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
ALW
2 - 2
ALI
42%
27%
32%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
ALN
2 - 3
ALI
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2025 |
PER
0 - 0
ALN
34%
25%
42%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2025 |
ALA
2 - 3
ALN
42%
26%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
ALN
3 - 0
ALF
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
ALN
4 - 0
WAS
48%
22%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |