Buri vs Malkiya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
4º
12º
6º
27
2º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 32 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 13 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 7 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
NAJ
3 - 1
TAD
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
TAD
2 - 2
MUH
19%
23%
58%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
EAR
0 - 0
TAD
26%
24%
50%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
TAD
2 - 2
TAD
83%
12%
5%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
TAD
2 - 1
BUS
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Malkiya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
EAR
1 - 0
MAL
33%
25%
42%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
HAL
2 - 1
MAL
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
TAD
0 - 0
MAL
10%
19%
70%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
MAL
2 - 2
BUS
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
MAL
1 - 0
MAQ
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |