Buri vs Al Reef analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
4º
12º
6º
13
6º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 32 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
13 | 13 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 7 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
TAD
2 - 0
ALH
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
EAS
0 - 1
TAD
78%
15%
7%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +2 |
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
ISA
3 - 3
TAD
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2022 |
TAD
1 - 1
MAQ
56%
22%
21%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
MAL
3 - 1
TAD
54%
24%
23%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Al Reef
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
EAR
0 - 1
ALI
40%
25%
36%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
QAL
2 - 3
EAR
54%
22%
24%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2022 |
EAR
1 - 2
ITT
44%
24%
33%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
EAR
1 - 5
BUS
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2022 |
EAR
1 - 1
TAD
84%
10%
6%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |