Al Smail vs Al Musannah analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
65.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Smail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
ASF
2 - 1
IBR
49%
21%
29%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2013 |
NIZ
2 - 1
ASF
74%
16%
10%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2012 |
ALO
1 - 0
ASF
70%
18%
12%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
OMA
0 - 1
ASF
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2010 |
ASF
1 - 2
KBR
27%
25%
48%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Al Musannah
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
MSN
0 - 1
KBR
48%
25%
28%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2015 |
MSN
1 - 1
MRB
43%
24%
33%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
MSN
2 - 4
ALS
54%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
MSN
0 - 2
OMA
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
TAL
0 - 3
MSN
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |