Al Shorta vs Wad Nobawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
36.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
3º
14º
10º
32
6º
18º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 66 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 62 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 41 |
5º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 39 |
6º
|
52.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
8º
|
38% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 33 |
11º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
43% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
68.5% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 29 |
14º
|
80% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
81.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
24 | 25 |
17º
|
51% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 23 |
18º
|
70.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Shorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
ASH
1 - 2
POR
37%
28%
36%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ASH
2 - 2
HAY
38%
29%
33%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
AAS
0 - 0
ASH
41%
25%
35%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
WNK
1 - 0
ASH
54%
22%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 0
ASH
49%
26%
25%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Wad Nobawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
WNK
1 - 1
KHA
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
WNK
0 - 1
POR
49%
26%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
WNK
1 - 0
ASH
54%
22%
25%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
POR
1 - 1
WNK
52%
25%
24%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2022 |
WNK
1 - 0
HAY
44%
27%
29%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |