Al Shorta vs Al Merghani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
34.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Shorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
AHM
1 - 3
ASH
21%
20%
59%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2025 |
HAY
2 - 1
ASH
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
MER
1 - 0
ASH
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
ASH
1 - 0
AHM
75%
15%
10%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ASH
0 - 1
HAY
58%
23%
20%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Al Merghani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2025 |
AHM
0 - 0
MER
17%
19%
64%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
POR
1 - 0
MER
41%
25%
34%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
HAY
1 - 2
MER
39%
23%
39%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
MER
1 - 0
ASH
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
MER
1 - 1
AHM
82%
11%
7%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |