Al Shorta vs Al-Ahly Merowe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Shorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
HAY
1 - 2
ASH
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ASH
3 - 1
ALH
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +2 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
MER
1 - 2
ASH
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
ASH
0 - 1
HIL
45%
26%
30%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
HAW
0 - 1
ASH
44%
28%
28%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Ahly Merowe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
AAS
1 - 0
KHA
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ALA
0 - 0
AAS
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
AAS
0 - 2
TUT
40%
26%
35%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
AAS
0 - 2
ALM
35%
26%
39%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
AAS
0 - 2
ALA
43%
26%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |