Al-Shamal vs Al-Gharafa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
48.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
8º
6º
41
2º
11º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
AFC Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Shamal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
QAT
2 - 1
ALS
42%
25%
33%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
ALS
4 - 0
UMM
37%
26%
38%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
SAD
1 - 0
ALS
68%
18%
14%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
WAK
0 - 3
ALS
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
RAY
1 - 2
ALS
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Gharafa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
GHA
1 - 0
PAK
48%
23%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
RAY
2 - 2
GHA
40%
24%
36%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
GHA
2 - 0
AHL
52%
23%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
GHA
1 - 2
SBR
24%
21%
56%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
GHA
3 - 1
KHO
56%
22%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |