Al-Shamal vs Al-Gharafa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
58.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Shamal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
ARA
2 - 0
ALS
73%
18%
9%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
ALS
0 - 2
QAT
22%
24%
54%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2008 |
KHO
2 - 1
ALS
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2008 |
ALS
2 - 4
UMM
25%
26%
49%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
SAD
2 - 0
ALS
71%
18%
10%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Gharafa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
ARB
1 - 1
GHA
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
GHA
0 - 1
QAT
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
KHO
0 - 3
GHA
29%
24%
47%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2008 |
SAI
0 - 1
GHA
27%
24%
48%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2008 |
GHA
1 - 1
ARA
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |