Al-Shabab vs Najran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Shabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
ALS
2 - 2
ALT
38%
26%
37%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ALS
3 - 2
ALA
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ALB
1 - 0
ALS
27%
29%
45%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
ALS
2 - 0
NAH
70%
19%
12%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
ALS
0 - 0
ALQ
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Najran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
NAJ
0 - 2
ALH
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ALQ
2 - 1
NAJ
25%
26%
50%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
NAJ
3 - 0
ADA
70%
18%
12%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
NAJ
4 - 0
ADA
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
WAJ
1 - 1
NAJ
19%
24%
57%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |