Al-Shabab vs Al-Nassr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Shabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
ALS
3 - 0
ALT
76%
17%
7%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
ALI
0 - 2
ALS
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ALB
0 - 3
ALS
20%
24%
57%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
ALS
2 - 1
ALF
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
ALS
2 - 2
ALH
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
ALF
1 - 1
ALN
28%
26%
46%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
ALN
0 - 1
ALI
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
ALN
1 - 2
ALH
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
WAH
1 - 5
ALN
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
ABH
1 - 3
ALN
16%
23%
61%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |