Al-Shabab vs Al-Nassr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Shabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
ALI
2 - 3
ALS
42%
29%
30%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
ALS
1 - 2
ALB
60%
22%
17%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
ALS
1 - 0
ALB
59%
22%
20%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
ALS
4 - 1
ALQ
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
ALS
1 - 2
OHO
73%
18%
9%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2017 |
ALN
2 - 2
ALF
73%
18%
9%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ALA
1 - 1
ALN
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
ALN
2 - 2
ALI
61%
23%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
ALF
1 - 3
ALN
36%
25%
38%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
ZAM
2 - 1
ALN
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |