Al-Shabab vs Al-Nassr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Shabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
ALS
2 - 1
ALS
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
ALH
3 - 0
ALS
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ALR
0 - 1
ALS
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ALS
2 - 4
ALF
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
ALW
2 - 5
ALS
37%
27%
37%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
ALN
3 - 1
ALW
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ALN
1 - 0
HAJ
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ALN
1 - 3
ALH
49%
25%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
ALT
1 - 2
ALN
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
ALN
0 - 1
ALI
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |