Al-Shabab vs Al-Nassr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
30.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Shabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ALS
1 - 0
ALH
74%
16%
9%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
ALS
2 - 3
ALR
71%
18%
12%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -3 |
| 23 Dec. 2010 |
ALI
1 - 0
ALS
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
ALS
3 - 1
ALQ
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2010 |
ALS
4 - 1
ALT
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
ALN
5 - 1
ALQ
66%
20%
15%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
ALN
2 - 2
ALT
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2010 |
ALF
1 - 1
ALN
24%
27%
49%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2010 |
ALN
6 - 1
NAJ
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
ALN
2 - 2
ALI
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |