Al Shat vs Rafik Sorman analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Shat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2005 |
ALA
1 - 1
AST
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2005 |
AST
1 - 0
31%
27%
42%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2005 |
AST
2 - 1
ALH
38%
26%
37%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2005 |
ALS
0 - 1
AST
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
ITT
2 - 0
AST
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Rafik Sorman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
2 - 1
RAS
67%
20%
12%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2005 |
RAS
0 - 1
ALS
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2005 |
AMT
0 - 0
RAS
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
MUS
0 - 1
RAS
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2005 |
RAS
0 - 0
ALA
32%
28%
40%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |