Al Sahel vs Burgan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
2º
3º
3º
12
2º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
12 | 12 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 8 |
5º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ALT
0 - 0
ALS
43%
25%
33%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
ALS
4 - 2
ALS
89%
9%
3%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
YAR
2 - 1
ALS
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
BUR
2 - 2
ALS
29%
25%
46%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ALS
1 - 1
ALT
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Burgan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
BUR
2 - 3
YAR
36%
24%
41%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
ALS
0 - 2
BUR
24%
24%
52%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
BUR
2 - 3
ALT
32%
23%
46%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
BUR
2 - 2
ALS
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
ALS
1 - 3
BUR
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |