Al-Rayyan vs Al-Shamal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
17.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
9º
5º
32
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Rayyan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
UMM
2 - 0
RAY
34%
23%
42%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
AHL
3 - 2
RAY
37%
23%
40%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2024 |
PAK
0 - 1
RAY
51%
22%
27%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
SAD
2 - 1
RAY
59%
21%
20%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
RAY
2 - 2
AHL
56%
22%
22%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Shamal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
ARA
3 - 0
ALS
61%
21%
19%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2024 |
ALS
1 - 1
WAK
26%
24%
50%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
ALS
2 - 6
ADS
25%
24%
51%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ALS
2 - 0
ALS
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ALS
5 - 2
ARA
23%
24%
53%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +2 |