Al-Rayyan vs Al-Gharafa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
44.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
8º
12º
9º
32
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Rayyan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2023 |
WAK
1 - 0
RAY
47%
24%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
SAD
2 - 0
RAY
59%
21%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
RAY
0 - 1
QAT
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
RAY
3 - 4
ADS
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
SAI
2 - 2
RAY
34%
25%
41%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Gharafa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2023 |
ARA
3 - 0
GHA
42%
25%
34%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
GHA
0 - 1
QAT
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
GHA
2 - 0
ADS
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
ALS
3 - 3
GHA
27%
22%
51%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 1
GHA
22%
23%
56%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |