Al-Nil vs Merreikh Nyala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Nil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
ALH
3 - 1
ALN
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
OBA
4 - 1
ALN
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
ALN
1 - 0
KHA
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2016 |
ALN
2 - 4
ALM
57%
23%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
ELA
2 - 0
ALN
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Merreikh Nyala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
MEN
0 - 0
ALA
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
ALR
2 - 0
MEN
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
MER
0 - 0
MEN
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
MEN
2 - 2
ALA
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
MEN
0 - 1
ALH
53%
25%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |