Al Nil vs Al Ahly Shendi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
23.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Nil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
KHA
1 - 0
ALN
53%
26%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
ALN
2 - 1
HIL
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
ALA
1 - 1
ALN
48%
28%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
ALA
0 - 2
ALN
52%
25%
22%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
ALN
2 - 0
ALH
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Al Ahly Shendi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
ALA
4 - 0
ALI
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
ALA
1 - 1
MER
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
ALA
1 - 1
ALA
52%
26%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2013 |
ALH
1 - 0
ALA
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
ALA
4 - 0
MER
49%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |