Al-Nassr vs Sur Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.8%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
5.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2009 |
ALN
3 - 0
ALQ
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2009 |
ALH
2 - 2
ALN
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ALN
3 - 1
KHO
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2009 |
ALN
0 - 2
ALS
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
SUR
1 - 2
ALN
9%
17%
74%
|
77 | 43 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Sur Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2009 |
SUR
1 - 0
KHO
18%
22%
61%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
SUR
1 - 2
ALN
9%
17%
74%
|
43 | 77 | 34 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2009 |
SUR
1 - 0
ALN
48%
27%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2009 |
TAL
1 - 0
SUR
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2009 |
SUR
0 - 0
KBR
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |