Al-Nassr vs Najran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ALN
5 - 1
NAH
74%
16%
9%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
ALQ
2 - 2
ALN
24%
26%
49%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
ALN
5 - 0
ALM
87%
10%
3%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
ALN
0 - 0
HAJ
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
ALH
1 - 0
ALN
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Najran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 1
NAJ
66%
19%
15%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ALW
1 - 1
NAJ
46%
24%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
NAJ
1 - 2
ALI
29%
25%
46%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
DHA
0 - 1
NAJ
18%
21%
61%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2015 |
NAJ
1 - 2
HAJ
51%
24%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |