Al-Nassr vs Najran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2013 |
ALN
1 - 3
ALA
46%
24%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
ALA
3 - 1
ALN
51%
24%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ALN
2 - 1
ALF
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
ALN
2 - 2
ALA
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
ALS
1 - 2
ALN
24%
26%
50%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Najran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2013 |
BAY
2 - 0
NAJ
39%
24%
38%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
NAJ
1 - 0
BAY
53%
23%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
NAJ
0 - 1
ALR
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2013 |
ALF
0 - 2
NAJ
54%
22%
24%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
ALF
6 - 1
NAJ
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |