Al-Nassr vs Najran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
ALS
2 - 1
ALN
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
ALN
3 - 1
ALW
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ALN
1 - 0
HAJ
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ALN
1 - 3
ALH
49%
25%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
ALT
1 - 2
ALN
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Najran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
NAJ
2 - 0
ALA
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
NAJ
1 - 1
ALT
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
ALF
4 - 2
NAJ
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ALW
1 - 2
NAJ
42%
24%
34%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
NAJ
1 - 0
ALI
38%
25%
37%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +2 |