Al-Nassr vs Najran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
ALS
2 - 2
ALN
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
ALN
1 - 3
ALI
49%
25%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
HAJ
0 - 3
ALN
26%
25%
49%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
ALN
1 - 2
ALF
63%
21%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
ALF
1 - 1
ALN
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Najran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
ALT
1 - 4
NAJ
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
NAJ
1 - 4
ALS
34%
27%
40%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
ALR
0 - 1
NAJ
53%
24%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
NAJ
1 - 1
ALF
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
ALA
4 - 0
NAJ
66%
21%
14%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |