Al-Nassr vs Najran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
10%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
9.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2009 |
ALN
2 - 1
ALH
49%
27%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2009 |
ALS
3 - 2
ALN
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
ALN
1 - 0
ALI
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2009 |
ALH
2 - 2
ALN
33%
26%
40%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
ALR
0 - 0
ALN
24%
25%
52%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Najran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2010 |
NAJ
2 - 3
ALI
23%
24%
53%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2009 |
ALQ
1 - 0
NAJ
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
NAJ
1 - 2
ALH
31%
29%
40%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
ALS
1 - 0
NAJ
72%
19%
10%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2009 |
ALI
3 - 1
NAJ
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |