Al-Nassr vs Al-Shabab analysis


78	ELO	78
10.1%	Tilt	6.2%
905º	General ELO ranking	929º
6º	Country ELO ranking	8º
ELO win probability

45.6%

Al-Nassr

24.2%

Draw

30.2%

Al-Shabab

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

45.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%

24.2%

Draw

0-0

5.3%

1-1

11.3%

2-2

6%

3-3

1.4%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

24.2%

30.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+36%

+13%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

2º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

67

1º

9º

2º

56

1º

4º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

4º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	72	72	1º	100%
2º	67	67	2º	100%
3º	59	59	3º	100%
4º	56	56	4º	100%
5º	55	55	5º	100%
6º	43	43	6º	100%
7º	37	37	7º	100%
8º	36	36	8º	100%
10º	34	34	9º	100%
9º	34	34	10º	100%
11º	33	33	11º	100%
12º	33	33	12º	100%
13º	32	32	13º	100%
14º	31	31	14º	100%
15º	28	28	15º	100%
16º	20	20	16º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

AFC Champions League	0%	0%
Mid-table	100%	100%
Relegation	0%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Al-Nassr

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
16 May. 2023	ALT 0 - 2 ALN 31% 26% 44%	78	72	6	0
08 May. 2023	ALN 1 - 1 ALK 74% 17% 8%	78	64	14	0
28 Apr. 2023	ALN 4 - 0 ALR 57% 23% 20%	77	72	5	+1
24 Apr. 2023	ALN 0 - 1 ALW 66% 19% 15%	78	69	9	-1
18 Apr. 2023	ALH 2 - 0 ALN 47% 24% 29%	78	78	0	0

Matches

Al-Shabab

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
18 May. 2023	ALS 0 - 1 ALW 58% 23% 18%	78	71	7
14 May. 2023	ALI 1 - 0 ALS 33% 25% 42%	78	74	4
11 May. 2023	ALS 3 - 1 TIS 81% 14% 5%	78	56	22
07 May. 2023	TIS 1 - 1 ALS 9% 17% 75%	78	56	22
03 May. 2023	ALS 1 - 0 ALF 45% 25% 30%	78	78	0