Al-Nassr vs Al-Shabab analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
ALI
0 - 5
ALN
60%
21%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
ALN
0 - 3
ZOB
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ALN
3 - 1
ALI
36%
24%
40%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ALN
1 - 1
ALK
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
ZOB
3 - 0
ALN
39%
25%
35%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Al-Shabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
ALF
0 - 0
ALS
43%
28%
29%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
ALS
1 - 1
ALW
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ALS
1 - 2
ALI
33%
26%
42%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ALH
1 - 1
ALS
67%
20%
14%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ALS
0 - 2
ALQ
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -2 |