Champions Cup Saudi Arabia Last 16
Global 4-2
Al-Nassr vs Al-Shabab analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
20.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
ALS
1 - 2
ALN
50%
24%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
ALN
3 - 2
ALQ
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 1
ALN
54%
23%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ALN
5 - 0
ALT
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ALH
1 - 0
ALN
48%
25%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Al-Shabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
ALS
1 - 2
ALN
50%
24%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ALA
1 - 1
ALS
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
ALS
3 - 0
ANS
77%
16%
7%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 0
ALS
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
HAJ
0 - 1
ALS
25%
27%
48%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |