Al-Nassr vs Al-Ittihad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2006 |
FCS
0 - 9
ALN
10%
16%
74%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
ALN
12 - 1
FCS
78%
15%
7%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2006 |
ALI
2 - 1
ALN
39%
26%
36%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2006 |
ALN
3 - 1
ALH
65%
22%
13%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
ALN
4 - 2
ALH
63%
23%
14%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Ittihad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
ALK
4 - 0
ALI
14%
19%
67%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
ALI
4 - 0
ALN
91%
7%
2%
|
77 | 42 | 35 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2006 |
ALI
2 - 0
ALK
87%
9%
4%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
ALI
3 - 2
ALT
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
ALH
2 - 1
ALI
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |