Al-Nassr vs Al-Fateh SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
14.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
KHO
0 - 4
ALN
24%
23%
53%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
ALA
3 - 3
ALN
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
NAJ
1 - 1
ALN
26%
26%
47%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2009 |
ALN
2 - 2
SUR
81%
13%
6%
|
78 | 45 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2009 |
ALN
3 - 0
ALQ
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Al-Fateh SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
ALF
0 - 0
ALW
26%
27%
47%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2009 |
NAJ
1 - 1
ALF
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
ALF
5 - 0
ALQ
40%
28%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
ALH
5 - 1
ALF
63%
23%
14%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ALF
2 - 1
ALS
23%
28%
50%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +2 |