Al Mourada vs Al-Ahly Merowe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Mourada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2019 |
OMD
1 - 0
KHA
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
OMD
0 - 2
ALA
56%
24%
21%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
OBA
1 - 2
OMD
60%
23%
18%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2019 |
HAW
3 - 1
OMD
34%
28%
38%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2019 |
ALA
1 - 1
OMD
28%
26%
46%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Ahly Merowe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
AAS
2 - 0
ALA
48%
26%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
AAS
0 - 0
ALM
11%
23%
67%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
ALA
3 - 1
AAS
45%
27%
29%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
KHA
2 - 1
AAS
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
AAS
0 - 3
OBA
28%
27%
46%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |