Al Minaa vs Basra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
15.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Minaa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2005 |
NAF
1 - 0
ALM
40%
27%
34%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2005 |
ALM
0 - 0
MIS
53%
26%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2005 |
NAS
0 - 2
ALM
31%
28%
42%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2005 |
KFC
0 - 4
ALM
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2005 |
ALS
1 - 0
ALM
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Basra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2005 |
BFC
2 - 4
NAS
38%
25%
38%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2005 |
ALS
4 - 0
BFC
68%
18%
14%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2005 |
BFC
1 - 3
KFC
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2005 |
NAF
0 - 3
BFC
65%
21%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +2 |
| 31 Dec. 2004 |
BFC
1 - 1
ALS
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |