Confederation Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Al-Masry vs Simba SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
14.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Masry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2025 |
NBE
1 - 1
ALM
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2025 |
ALM
1 - 1
MAS
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2025 |
ASY
0 - 0
ALM
52%
25%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
NBE
3 - 1
ALM
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2025 |
ALM
4 - 2
CCF
40%
30%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2025 |
SIM
2 - 1
BIS
87%
9%
4%
|
60 | 9 | 51 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
SIM
6 - 0
DJF
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
COA
0 - 3
SIM
33%
30%
37%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2025 |
SIM
2 - 2
AZA
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2025 |
NAM
0 - 3
SIM
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |