Al Mahdia vs Al Sadaqa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
52.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Mahdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
MUR
1 - 0
MSC
82%
11%
7%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
MSC
0 - 4
AAB
20%
25%
56%
|
10 | 68 | 58 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
ALA
2 - 0
MSC
76%
15%
9%
|
10 | 61 | 51 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2025 |
MSC
3 - 3
ABC
43%
22%
35%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
ALH
4 - 2
MSC
68%
20%
12%
|
10 | 69 | 59 | 0 |
Matches
Al Sadaqa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
ALT
1 - 1
ASF
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
ASF
1 - 0
MUR
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 19 | 47 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
AAB
2 - 0
ASF
52%
27%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2025 |
ASF
3 - 1
ALA
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
ABC
0 - 1
ASF
21%
25%
54%
|
65 | 10 | 55 | 0 |