Al-Khaleej vs Al-Nassr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
70.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.4%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
12º
15º
14º
67
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Khaleej
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 2022 |
ALI
1 - 0
ALK
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
ALF
3 - 1
ALK
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
ALK
1 - 2
ALF
21%
27%
51%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ALS
4 - 0
ALK
75%
17%
8%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
ALK
1 - 2
ALF
15%
24%
61%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
ALN
2 - 2
ALH
46%
24%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
ALN
2 - 0
ADA
82%
13%
6%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
ALR
1 - 4
ALN
27%
26%
47%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
ALN
1 - 1
ALM
51%
24%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ALN
4 - 0
ALF
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |