Al Karmal vs Sama Al Sarhan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
57.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Karmal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2025 |
KAR
3 - 3
DQR
70%
17%
13%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2024 |
IAR
1 - 0
KAR
69%
19%
12%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 1
ALY
24%
26%
51%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2024 |
KAR
0 - 1
ITT
67%
18%
15%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
SAH
0 - 1
KAR
67%
20%
14%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Sama Al Sarhan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2025 |
DQR
2 - 2
SAM
18%
23%
60%
|
55 | 13 | 42 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2024 |
SAM
5 - 0
SAH
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2024 |
ALW
3 - 0
SAM
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
ALH
0 - 1
SAM
21%
23%
56%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 1
ALS
34%
24%
42%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |