Al Karmal vs Al Yarmouk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
50.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Karmal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2024 |
KAR
0 - 1
ITT
67%
18%
15%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
SAH
0 - 1
KAR
67%
20%
14%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2024 |
KAR
3 - 1
ALH
65%
18%
17%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2024 |
ALH
0 - 1
KAR
62%
21%
17%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 1
ALW
73%
16%
12%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Al Yarmouk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
ALY
7 - 1
SAH
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
ALH
1 - 2
ALY
25%
25%
50%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
ALY
3 - 4
ALH
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ALW
1 - 1
ALY
23%
25%
53%
|
51 | 23 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
ALY
0 - 0
AMA
41%
26%
34%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |