Al Karkh vs Al Jaish analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
10.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Karkh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ARB
3 - 1
KAR
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
KAR
4 - 2
ZAK
30%
30%
40%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
RAM
0 - 0
KAR
44%
28%
29%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
PES
1 - 1
KAR
51%
27%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
KAR
1 - 1
ALN
43%
30%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Al Jaish
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
JAI
0 - 1
ALN
24%
29%
47%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
JAI
1 - 0
SAM
40%
28%
33%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ALK
1 - 0
JAI
72%
19%
9%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
DUH
1 - 1
JAI
81%
14%
5%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
JAI
0 - 1
ALS
18%
27%
54%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |