Al-Jaish vs Hottin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
22%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
6º
6º
14
7º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 47 |
1º
|
79.5% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 46 |
2º
|
79.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 39 |
3º
|
88% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 37 |
4º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 35 |
5º
|
53% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 33 |
6º
|
75% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 24 |
7º
|
88.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 20 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 19 |
9º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 18 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 16 |
11º
|
53% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 14 |
12º
|
60.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 93% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 7% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Jaish
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
ALW
1 - 1
ALJ
38%
28%
35%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
FOU
1 - 2
ALJ
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
ALJ
3 - 0
ALK
51%
27%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
ALI
0 - 0
ALJ
36%
29%
34%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ALJ
0 - 0
TIS
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hottin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
HOT
3 - 3
ALM
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
ALK
1 - 1
HOT
44%
29%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FOU
3 - 0
HOT
52%
26%
23%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
HOT
0 - 2
ALW
50%
27%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
TIS
0 - 1
HOT
45%
28%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +2 |