Al Jaish vs Samarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Jaish
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2001 |
JAI
0 - 3
ALT
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2001 |
ALM
0 - 0
JAI
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2001 |
ALN
0 - 1
JAI
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2001 |
JAI
0 - 2
ARB
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
JAI
2 - 1
ALZ
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Samarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2001 |
ARB
4 - 2
SFC
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2001 |
SFC
4 - 3
ADI
42%
25%
33%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2001 |
SFC
1 - 1
DIW
47%
24%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2001 |
ALS
7 - 0
SFC
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
ALN
3 - 1
SFC
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |