Al Jaish vs Basra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Jaish
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2003 |
ALN
1 - 2
JAI
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2003 |
KFC
0 - 0
JAI
31%
26%
43%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2003 |
JAI
4 - 1
ALS
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2003 |
ZAK
4 - 1
JAI
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2003 |
JAI
1 - 1
KAR
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Basra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2003 |
BFC
1 - 0
ARB
24%
25%
51%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2003 |
ALS
1 - 0
BFC
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
SFC
2 - 1
BFC
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2003 |
BFC
0 - 1
ALT
27%
25%
48%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2003 |
BFC
0 - 1
ALN
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |