Champions Cup Saudi Arabia Last 16
Global 4-3
Al-Ittihad vs Al-Hilal SFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ittihad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ALS
1 - 0
ALI
27%
26%
47%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 2
ALS
51%
25%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ALI
2 - 0
NAJ
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
ALH
4 - 2
ALI
54%
24%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
ALI
2 - 1
ALT
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Hilal SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
RAY
0 - 2
ALH
35%
24%
42%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ALA
1 - 1
ALH
49%
25%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
ALH
2 - 0
AIN
49%
23%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
ALH
0 - 0
ALT
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ALF
0 - 1
ALH
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |