Al Ittihad Alexandria vs Ghazl El Mehalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
12.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
8º
8º
33
2º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
83 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
|
17º
|
33 | 33 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ittihad Alexandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
ALI
3 - 1
GEI
51%
27%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
ALI
2 - 0
ELD
70%
20%
10%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
ASW
0 - 1
ALI
23%
26%
51%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
GHA
1 - 1
ALI
22%
28%
51%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
ALI
0 - 1
MOK
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ghazl El Mehalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ASW
0 - 0
GHA
37%
25%
38%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ASW
0 - 1
GHA
40%
28%
33%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
GHA
2 - 1
ISM
29%
30%
41%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
MOK
1 - 1
GHA
57%
26%
17%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
GHA
1 - 1
ALI
22%
28%
51%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |