AFC Champions League Elite Semi-finals
Global 6-2
Al-Hilal SFC vs Persepolis Tehran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Hilal SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2017 |
ALI
1 - 1
ALH
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
ALH
1 - 0
OHO
79%
15%
7%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2017 |
ALH
3 - 0
AIN
46%
24%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2017 |
AIN
0 - 0
ALH
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
ALT
3 - 4
ALH
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Persepolis Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2017 |
SEP
2 - 2
PER
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
PER
0 - 1
PAY
56%
25%
19%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
ALA
1 - 3
PER
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2017 |
GOT
0 - 3
PER
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
PER
2 - 2
ALA
33%
24%
43%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |